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Record W2324451018 · doi:10.2118/1109-0016-jpt

Comments: Weathering the Recession

2009· article· en· W2324451018 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
John Donnelly

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Petroleum Technology · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnergy
TopicGlobal Energy and Sustainability Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRecessionPetroleum industryBusinessGlobal recessionVolatility (finance)Service (business)EconomicsEconomyFinanceMarketingEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Editor's column A new report sheds light on how oil and gas firms have weathered the recession, and whether the firms" management believes that the industry is experiencing permanent structural changes in addition to the significant economic downturn. Released on the eve of the SPE Offshore Europe conference, the report concludes that companies generally fall into one of two categories and that the determining factor is company leadership and corporate culture. Although the entire industry has been affected by the recession and the cyclical nature of oil prices, the study sought to discover why some firms are more resilient and optimistic when facing economic and other challenges. The "Riding the Rapids" survey was put together by the Aberdeen School of Business and the Production Services Network consulting firm and was based on interviews with senior leadership from oil and gas operators and service companies. The research was then debated and discussed in panel sessions held in Aberdeen, Houston, Calgary, and Abu Dhabi. Companies were split on how they viewed current economic challenges. More than three-quarters of the companies said they had been affected in some way by the banking meltdown and the oil-price volatility of the past year and a half. But just over half (51%) claimed they were immune or only moderately affected by the current economic downturn and seemed to welcome the challenges the downturn posed. In sharp contrast, 49% of the companies surveyed "felt exposed and less in control of their destiny, stating they had been seriously or very badly affected by the current recession." The more optimistic firms saw the recession as only one of several contextual factors driving change in the industry. They also saw more signs of economic and industry recovery occurring in the second half of this year, which could lead to an industry rebound in 2010. Management in these companies were focused on restructuring their companies to become "leaner and meaner" in days to come to perform more efficiently. Not surprisingly, these firms often had a product line that was more economically inelastic, diversified offerings, and sound management practices and sturdy financials that were already in place. Some saw a practical opportunity to the boom and bust economic and price cycles the industry weathers—it allows the industry to periodically realign itself to current economic realities, streamline costs, and emerge as a more efficient sector. The more vulnerable cited the banking crisis in particular as a factor, as the lack of access to capital and funding harmed the ability to secure finance for projects and new developments and affected cash flow throughout the supply chain. They also cited a lack of skilled workers. The industry faced that problem before the recession and economic difficulties only made matters worse for some firms, which laid off workers even in light of the technical-talent shortage. Other firms in this category also complained about the lack of help and incentives from government, even as it bailed out other industries.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.697
Threshold uncertainty score0.273

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.279
Teacher spread0.270 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designOther design
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2009
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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