Body Mass Index as a Predictor of Complications and Mortality After Lumbar Spine Surgery
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective analysis. OBJECTIVE: A national population-based database was analyzed to characterize the risks of postoperative complications and mortality associated with the patient's body mass index (BMI) after lumbar spinal surgery. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Obesity has been associated with greater perioperative complications and worsened surgical outcomes after lumbar spinal surgery. However, the stratified BMI risks of postoperative complications relative to normal weight patients have not been well characterized. METHODS: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried to identify patients who underwent lumbar spinal surgery between 2006 and 2011. Patients were stratified into BMI cohorts: normal (18.5-24.99 kg/m), overweight (25.00-29.99 kg/m), class 1 (30.00-34.99 kg/m), class 2 (35.00-39.99 kg/m), and class 3 (≥40 kg/m) obesity. Preoperative patient characteristics and perioperative outcomes were assessed. The relative risks of 30-day postoperative complications and mortality for each BMI cohort were calculated in reference to the normal weight cohort using a 95% confidence interval. RESULTS: A total of 24,196 patients underwent lumbar spine surgery between 2006 and 2011 of which 19,195 (79.3%) were overweight or obese. The risk for deep vein thrombosis increased beginning with overweight patients and compounded for the subsequent obesity classes. The risk for superficial wound infection and pulmonary embolism increased beginning with the class 1 obesity cohort. Furthermore, the relative risk increase for urinary tract infection, acute renal failure, and sepsis was significantly increased only among class 3 obesity patients. Lastly, there was no relative risk increase in 30-day mortality in any cohort after lumbar spine surgery. CONCLUSION: Overweight and obese patients demonstrated an increased risk of postoperative complications relative to normal weight patients. Despite these findings, a BMI 25 kg/m or more was not associated with a greater risk of mortality. Further studies are warranted to characterize the impact of postoperative complications associated with overweight and obese patients on hospital resource utilization and costs after lumbar spine surgery.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it