Development and Validation of Limited Sampling Strategies for Tacrolimus and Mycophenolate in Steroid-Free Renal Transplant Regimens
Bibliographic record
Abstract
PURPOSE: 1) To develop and validate limited sampling strategies (LSSs) for tacrolimus (TAC) and mycophenolic acid (MPA) in renal transplant recipients not receiving corticosteroids; and 2) to evaluate predictive performance of published LSSs (for steroid-based regimens) in a steroid-free population. METHODS: On administration of steady-state morning TAC and mycophenolate mofetil doses, 12-hour serial blood samples from 28 stable renal transplant recipients were collected and measured by validated high-performance liquid chromatography methods and area under the curve (AUC) by trapezoidal rule. TAC LSSs were developed and validated by multiple regression analysis by a two-group method (index n = 18; validation n = 10) and MPA LSSs by the jackknife method (n = 28). Potential LSSs were those with r ≥ .8 (TAC) or r ≥ 0.7 (MPA) and < 3 time points within 2 hours (TAC) or 4 hours (MPA) postdose. Predictive performance was calculated and other published TAC and MPA LSSs tested using preset criteria for bias and precision of within ± 15%. RESULTS: For TAC, three three-concentration, one two-concentration, and one one-concentration model met preset criteria. The best equations were: TAC AUC = 10.338 + 7.739C0 + 3.589C2 (r = 0.956, bias = -3.4%, precision = 4.7%) and TAC AUC = 29.479 + 5.016C2 (r = 0.862, bias = 3.2%, precision = 9.7%). For MPA, only one model was identified: MPA AUC = 9.328 + 1.311C1 + 1.455C2 + 2.901C4 (r = 0.838, bias = -3.8%, precision = 14.9%). One published TAC (and no MPA) LSS in renal transplant recipients on steroid-based regimens met criteria. CONCLUSIONS: To the authors' knowledge, these LSSs are the first to be developed and validated in steroid-free renal transplant recipients and can be used to accurately predict TAC and MPA AUCs for steroid-free regimens. Because the commonly used MPA LSS is based on a steroid regimen and not predictive for steroid-free patients, the newly derived MPA LSS is being applied at the authors' institution. Other renal transplant centers may also wish to validate this equation in their own patients.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".