F1‐03‐03: Mapping the progression of CSF and imaging biomarkers in “at‐risk” healthy subjects: The prevent‐ad program
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Increasing evidence suggests that multiple cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and imaging biomarkers may elucidate the pre-symptomatic phase of Alzheimer's disease (AD). Using a cohort of aging cognitively intact individuals with a first-degree family history of AD, we evaluated time course alterations in multiple AD biomarkers including “classic” CSF markers and lipid transport proteins in relation to brain resting-state network activity. We examined results across specific genotypes including APOE. Baseline, 3-, 12- and 24-months data were acquired for an ongoing prevention trial nested in the PREVENT-AD program. CSF was obtained by lumbar puncture, and protein concentrations were measured using Innotest technology for tau, P-tau and Aβ1-42. Luminex-based immunoassays (Millipore) were used to quantify CSF apolipoproteins A1, A2, B, C2, C3 and E. Genotypes for APOE and other polymorphisms were determined using standardized pyrosequencing techniques. Finally, a systematic analysis of different resting state functional MRI-derived indices was performed using standard machine learning algorithms. The resulting signal was then examined in relation to alteration in P-tau at 12 months vs. baseline. Time course analyses of tau, P-tau and Aβ1-42 over 2 years indicated strong APOE-e4 genotype-driven differences at baseline, with a clear exacerbation of pathological changes between 12 and 24 months. The latter elevation in tau/Aβ1-42 ratio (n=60) found among APOE-e4 carriers vs. non-carriers was inapparent, however, in subjects with the protective (G-negative) genotype at the HMGCR rs3866662 locus. Surprisingly, levels of CSF apoE protein correlated directly with age, a finding driven by results from e4-negative subjects only (p<0.002). Levels of CSF apoB (derived exclusively from blood) were significantly increased in e4 carriers vs. non-carriers at all timepoints (p<0.01). Resting state network activity connecting precuneus to anterior cingulate cortex correlated inversely with P-tau change between baseline and 12 months (p <0.01). Alterations over time in tau, Aβ1-42 and P-tau levels in the CSF in a cohort of high-risk cognitively intact subjects suggest ongoing “silent” neurodegeneration with consequences for at least one specific network function. Our findings with apoB suggest loss of blood-brain barrier integrity in persons with APOE e4 – a group with other signs of exaggerated pre-symptomatic AD pathology.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".