Linear Optimal Unbiased Filter for Time-Variant Systems Without Apriori Information on Initial Conditions
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this technical note, an optimal unbiased filter (OUF) is derived for time-variant systems to relax the initial condition assumption in Kalman filter (KF). By minimizing the mean square errors subject to the unbiasedness condition a solution is derived in a batch computation form first. To facilitate the on-line application, a recursive realization is further developed. The effect of removing the initial condition assumption on the estimation performance is analysed, and we show that the proposed algorithm converges to the KF asymptotically. Two-state harmonic model and four-state moving target tracking model are employed to demonstrate that the OUF can improve transient estimation performance significantly and can be used in place of the KF when the apriori information about the initial state values is not available.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it