Bibliographic record
Abstract
Researchers and policy makers are expected to declare potential conflicts of interests so that their conclusions and advice can be appropriately judged by those who will be acting upon them. This applies to all researchers, regardless of whether they are generating or testing hypotheses. In 1998, The Lancet published a manuscript, written by Wakefield et al (1), that detailed 12 children who were referred to the gastroenterology clinic of the Royal Free Hospital and School of Medicine in London, United Kingdom, with what was described as chronic enterocolitis and regressive developmental disorder. Following a description of the extensive investigation of the cause of these children's medical illness, the authors hypothesized that the administration of measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine could precipitate chronic inflammatory bowel disease that would then lead to autism. This hypothesis was announced to the medical and scientific worlds and the general public via a press conference, at which time, warnings were given that the combination MMR vaccine should not be given to young children because of the risk of development of this condition. Public and scientific controversy ensued. As a result, the number of children receiving measles immunization in the United Kingdom plummeted from 92% to 95% before the announcement to estimates of 60% to 80% coverage depending on the region and groups studied, and the extent of ongoing local press coverage of the story. The effect was felt elsewhere, including Canada, as paediatricians, family practitioners, public health nurses and other health care providers were questioned by worried parents about whether it was safe to have their children immunized with this vaccine. Whether immunization rates fell in Canada to the same extent as estimated in the United Kingdom is not known but, fortunately, it is not thought to be likely. The debate triggered the reallocation of significant funding from other activities to support studies to confirm or refute the hypothesis, as well as hundreds of hours of time devoted to formal investigations and scientific reviews by various expert panels (2–8). By 2001, the scientific and medical community had generally concluded that there was no evidence to support the hypothesis and had published recommendations that MMR immunization programs be continued (7–9). However, the issue continued to be debated in both the medical literature and the press, resulting in chronic poor uptake of measles and measles containing vaccination. In February of this year, the results of a four-month investigation by reporters were announced in the British press and related to concerns that, as a result of an undisclosed significant conflict of interest on the part of Dr Wakefield, the results published were questionable. The investigation generated accusations that Dr Wakefield had received a relatively large amount of money to find evidence of an association between receipt of immunization and the development of autism in a significant proportion of the children described in the manuscript as part of legal action being taken by the parents of those children against the company that manufactured the MMR vaccine. The editor of The Lancet has indicated that as a result of the investigation, the nondisclosure of this funding was of concern. Had the editors been aware of the funding issue at the time, it would have had affected their assessment of the data and conclusions drawn, and would have affected the decision to publish the manuscript (10). Most of Dr Wakefield's coauthors also published a letter to the editor of The Lancet retracting their support of the interpretation of the conclusion that MMR was associated with the development of autism (11). This has, understandably, generated a call for a formal investigation of the circumstances surrounding the generation of the data and publication of the manuscript to answer the question “How did this happen?” Fortunately, true science prevailed. Dr Wakefield's hypothesis had not stood the tests of time because other scientists did not confirm his results. Some of his original collaborators had already begun to express doubt concerning the conclusions and his hypothesis had generally been discounted before this story broke in the news. The issue of disbelief of the published results of immunization studies because of alleged conflict of interest is not new. Opponents to vaccines and immunization programs have used these allegations for the past several years to discredit research results supporting the safety and effectiveness of immunization. As a result, researchers who investigate the safety and efficacy of vaccines and official bodies that make recommendations related to immunization have become extremely careful to ensure that all potential or perceived conflicts of interest are openly declared so that the conclusions made can be evaluated appropriately. In situations where a true conflict of interest exists, the results may be assessed and considered by others but the opinions of the researchers are usually not sought. The same standards would be expected of any researcher, regardless of the expected results of their research. As such, Dr Wakefield had an obligation to disclose any financial arrangements or other conflicts of interest that could have influenced his interpretation of his findings. What should happen now? Obviously, an inquiry is in order. Millions of dollars have been spent and children's lives have likely been unnecessarily put at risk because of the consequences of measles as a direct result of this 1998 Lancet paper. Would the same widespread consequences to measles immunization programs worldwide have occurred if there had been a disclosure that the study had been funded, in part, through an investigation to confirm a position taken in a legal action? Probably not. There has been at least one positive aspect as a consequence to all this controversy. The problems related to the diagnosis and treatment of autism has gained international attention. Determining the cause of autism has become a priority. How unfortunate it is that the money that has been spent trying to determine whether MMR caused autism hadn't been spent studying more productive avenues of research. Recently, another manuscript detailing the results of research concerning the cause of autism has generated extensive press coverage in Canada, in part because of the reputation of the universities with which the authors were associated. In conversations with the press relating to the well-publicized advanced online publication of the manuscript in Molecular Psychiatry, Dr RC Deth clearly indicated his belief that his research supports the argument that thimerosal in vaccines causes autism (12). Questions were immediately raised by the press and public about the safety of the influenza vaccines provided for children in Canada, as they contain thimerosal in small amounts. The manuscript describes a very complex study involving many basic science experiments using neurological cancer cell lines. Generalization of these laboratory results as an explanation of events in the human central nervous system of a child is tenuous at best. They are not sufficient to support the statements made related to thimerosal as the cause of autism. In reviewing the manuscript, I am unable to determine how the study was funded. In view of the controversy surrounding Dr Wakefield's Lancet article, the publishers of this manuscript would be well advised to ensure that information concerning the sources of funding for this study is made public. As stated at the beginning of this editorial, researchers and policy makers are expected to declare potential conflicts of interests so that their conclusions and advice can be appropriately judged by those who will be acting on them. This applies to all researchers, regardless of whether they are generating or testing hypotheses.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.078 | 0.175 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.010 | 0.073 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.012 | 0.013 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.010 |
| Research integrity | 0.022 | 0.012 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.010 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".