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Abstract P199: Randomized Comparison of the DAWN AC Computer Program and a Simple Manual Nomogram for Quality of Warfarin Dosing

2011· article· en· W2411834941 on OpenAlexaff
Robby Nieuwlaat, Lowiek M. Hubers, Alex C. Spyropoulos, Alexander Stehouwer, Harriette G Van Spall, John W. Eikelboom, Sam Schulman, Stuart J. Connolly

Bibliographic record

VenueCirculation Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAtrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
Canadian institutionsMcMaster UniversityPopulation Health Research Institute
Fundersnot available
KeywordsNomogramMedicineWarfarinDosingAtrial fibrillationAnticoagulantRandomized controlled trialSurgeryInternal medicine

Abstract

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Background In patients receiving warfarin, the quality of anticoagulant control as measured by the time-in-therapeutic range (TTR) for the International Normalized Ratio (INR) is a key determinant of risk for thromboembolic and bleeding events. Computer programs can assist physicians in optimizing TTR, but are expensive. The purpose of this study was to determine whether a computer system (DAWN AC) was non-inferior to a two-step manual nomogram used in a hospital anticoagulation clinic. Methods Stable anticoagulated patients receiving warfarin with target INR range 2-3 in the anticoagulation clinic were randomized to management with the newly acquired DAWN AC computer system or the clinic's standard of care, a simple manual dosing nomogram. After an initial run-in phase, study data collection started on February 1 st 2010 and was completed on August 8 th 2010. Primary outcome was the mean TTR calculated by the Rosendaal linear interpolation method. The non-inferiority margin was set at 4.5% lower TTR for DAWN AC compared with the nomogram. Results Of the 1,298 patients initially randomized, 1,127 were still managed by the clinic after the run-in phase and entered the study on February 1 st ; 564 were managed with DAWN AC, and 563 with the manual nomogram. The mean age of study patients was 69 ± 14 years and 62% were male. Main indications for anticoagulation were atrial fibrillation (48%) and prosthetic heart valves (25%). Mean follow-up was 172 days, encompassing 8,344 INR values and 155,041 patient days. Adherence to recommended warfarin doses was higher in the DAWN AC than in the nomogram group (99 vs. 90%; p<0.0001), the average interval between INR measurements was similar in the two groups (21 ± 12 vs. 21 ± 13 days; p=0.1987). In the primary analysis, mean TTR in the DAWN AC group was non-inferior to mean TTR in the nomogram group (71.0% ± 23.3 vs. 71.9% ± 22.9; non-inferiority p=0.0052). Conclusion Among stable patients receiving warfarin with a target INR of 2-3 in an anticoagulation clinic, quality of anticoagulant control with the DAWN AC computer program was non-inferior to a simple two-step manual dosing nomogram. The nomogram could be a useful dosing tool for physicians without access to a computerized warfarin dosing system.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.062
Threshold uncertainty score0.549

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.223
GPT teacher head0.426
Teacher spread0.202 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2011
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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