MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W2480288454 · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139164443.002

Measuring change in the long run: the data

2001· book-chapter· en· W2480288454 on OpenAlexaff
Jon Cohen, Giovanni Federico

Bibliographic record

VenueCambridge University Press eBooks · 2001
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicResearch in Social Sciences
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

2.1 After a brief burst of research on the economic causes of the Risorgimento (the political process of unification) in the 1950s and early 1960s, in large part stimulated by the centenary of Italian unification in 1961, historians lost interest in the economic history of pre-unification Italy. Thus, recent reviews of the literature by Pescosolido (1998) and Crepas (1999) have almost nothing new to say about the period 1815–1860. This is most unfortunate because, in spite of tantalizing suggestions by Cafagna (1989) and Bonelli (1979) – see chapter 3 – that modern economic growth in Italy probably predated unification, these and other issues have received very little attention. There are, moreover, underutilized sources of information on the period. In short, then, the pre-unification period is still awaiting the renaissance in economic history research experienced by other periods. The payoff to such renewed attention could be substantial. Foreign trade statistics are the most reliable and by far the largest set of data we have on the real economy before 1861 (Federico 1991). We could, in principle, use these data to construct a ‘national’ trade series and, through them, gain insights into the real economy. In practice, it is a challenge. Differences in collection criteria, presentation, the efficiency of the statistical agencies, and the amount of smuggling between the pre-unification Italian states, make the construction of an aggregate series, at best, difficult. Only one state, Piedmont, has year-by-year trade data for the entire period 1815–61.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.022
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.012
Threshold uncertainty score0.041

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.022
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0040.012
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0030.003
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0120.006

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.307
GPT teacher head0.334
Teacher spread0.027 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2001
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueCambridge University Press eBooksSame topicResearch in Social SciencesFrench-language works237,207