Bibliographic record
Abstract
On the first page of this book, I suggested that you might not find it worth reading any further if you were confident that the progress of history was making tyranny a thing of the past – that, despite a few bumps in the road like ISIS or Putin, we were heading inevitably toward the spread of American-style democracy around the world. If you've made it this far, that means you're willing to entertain the possibility that the danger of tyranny is a permanent feature of the human and political landscape, as much now as ever. It's never going away, and neither is the need to defend free self-governing societies against it. How does the world look when we remove our rose-colored “end of history” glasses and view it straight on? The world is what it has always been. But we will see it rather differently. Let's do a world tour with our three main varieties of tyranny as the guidebook. ALL ABOARD FOR THE TYRANNY TOUR Garden-variety kleptocratic tyrannies have been alive and well all along. Sometimes they are dressed up with the tired principle of belonging to “the developing world” (examples include much of Africa, the Arab Baathist dictatorships, Haiti's Duvaliers) as a lure for foreign aid to be filched (Malawi's former president Bakili Muluzi has been accused of embezzling twelve million dollars of foreign-aid money, one on a long list of such scandals), sometimes used to cobble together made-up countries (Jordan, for example, the original intended Palestinian state, with its British-backed Hashemite monarchy), sometimes masked with a pretense of piety (the Saudis, who hide in their luxurious compounds while their subjects are left to the tender mercies of the harshest Salaafist version of Sharia law). Fidel Castro is, as I write, the last of the club of satellite Soviet dictators. By allowing his brother to lift a few restrictions on business and travel in pursuit of normalizing relations with the U.S., he apparently hopes to stave off the fate of Ceausescu and other long-gone communist dictators while holding onto supreme control for his prosperous clan.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.009 | 0.017 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.018 | 0.014 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.008 |
| Research integrity | 0.005 | 0.009 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.032 | 0.007 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".