Drospirenone‐containing combined oral contraceptives and the risk of arterial thrombosis: a population‐based nested case‐control study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To compare the rate of arterial thromboembolism (ATE) of drospirenone-containing COCs to that of levonorgestrel-containing COCs. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: United Kingdom's Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), which contains clinical records for >11 million patients. POPULATION: Women aged 16-45 years prescribed a drospirenone- or levonorgestrel-containing COC between May 2002 and June 2012. METHODS: We conducted nested case-control analyses using risk set sampling to randomly select up to 10 controls for each ATE case, matched on age, cohort entry year, CPRD registration year, COC user type (first-time ever, new, switcher, or prevalent users), duration of COC use, duration of progestin-only or implantable contraceptive use, pre-cohort entry duration of drospirenone and levonorgestrel use, and duration of follow up. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We used conditional logistic regression to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for high-dimensional propensity scores. RESULTS: Our cohort included 339 743 women followed over a mean 4.4 years, during which 228 ATE cases occurred: 37 myocardial infarctions, 170 strokes, and 21 other ATEs; overall rate: 1.5 events per 10 000 person-years (PYs). After adjusting for potential confounders, the hazard ratio for ATE with current use of drospirenone-containing COCs versus current use of levonorgestrel-containing COCs was 0.89 (95% CI 0.35, 2.28), corresponding to a rate difference of -0.16 events per 10 000 PYs. CONCLUSIONS: The overall rate of ATE in this population is low regardless of which COC was taken. We found little evidence of a difference in the rate of ATE with drospirenone- versus levonorgestrel-containing COCs. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Little evidence was found of a greater incidence of arterial thrombosis with drospirenone versus levonorgestrel contraceptives.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".