Predicting time to emergency department re-visits and inpatient hospitalization among adolescents who visited an emergency department for psychotic symptoms: a retrospective cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Adolescents experiencing psychosis may enter the mental health system by a pathway to care that includes or is initiated at the emergency department (ED). However, a better understanding of the pathway to care involving EDs is required to ensure these patients receive the care they require. This study explores physician-based care factors associated with adolescent ED re-visits and inpatient hospitalization following an index ED visit for psychotic symptoms. METHODS: Using administrative data from Alberta, Canada, we identified a cohort of adolescents aged 13-17 years who were discharged after an ED visit for psychotic symptoms between April 1, 2002 and September 29, 2010. Multivariable models estimated times to ED re-visit and inpatient hospitalization for mental health care in a 90-day period after ED discharge. RESULTS: The cohort was comprised of 208 adolescents. Reduced times to ED re-visit and inpatient hospitalization were associated with: 1) multiple physician visits after discharge (ED re-visit: hazard ratio [HR] 5.93, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 2.09-16.82; inpatient hospitalization: HR 9.43, 95 % CI 1.24-72.00), and 2) post-ED physician care provided in a hospital-based outpatient clinic (ED re-visit: HR 3.07, 95 % CI 1.77-5.29; inpatient hospitalization: HR 3.48, 95 % CI 1.54-7.88). A follow-up visit to a pediatrician, compared to other physician specialties, was associated with earlier inpatient hospitalization (HR 4.45, 95 % CI 1.43-13.87). There was a significant interaction between sex and First Nations status in both models. Females with First Nations status re-visited the ED sooner (HR 3.19; 95 % CI 1.41-7.22) and were hospitalized sooner (HR 4.18; 95 % CI 1.24-14.06). CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies predictors of time to care for adolescents with psychotic symptoms that are worthy of additional investigation. To ensure the pathway to care for these adolescents reduces the duration of untreated problems, health care aspects that require urgent investigation include the type assessments and clinical decisions made during post-ED physician visits.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".