Chronic Hepatitis C among Immigrants Living in Canada: Natural History, Disease Burden, and Cost-effectiveness of Screening
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Aims: To investigate the natural history of CHC, estimate the disease burden of CHC, and assess the cost-effectiveness of screening for CHC among immigrants living in Canada. Methods: A retrospective cohort study compared the prognosis of CHC between immigrant patients and native-born patients who had advanced fibrosis. A cross-sectional study assessed the association between obesity and hepatitis C viremia. The disease burden of CHC among immigrants was estimated through Markov cohort model. The cost-effectiveness of screening for CHC was assessed among immigrants. Results: The retrospective cohort study including 318 patients demonstrated that immigrant patients had significantly higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma than Canadian-born patients (p=0.005). The hazard ratio associated with ‘immigrant’ for hepatocellular carcinoma in multivariate Cox proportional-hazards analyses reduced to the least and non-significant (p=0.318) after adjusting age and type 2 diabetes. The prevalence of obesity in 1118 individuals tested positive for hepatitis C antibody was 28.8%. Multiple regression analyses and propensity score methods suggested a significant association between obesity and hepatitis C viremia. The disease burden study estimated that immigrants with CHC had much shorter average life years (26.9 years vs. 39.1 years) and quality adjusted life years (20.6 years vs. 32.4 years) than the age matched immigrants without CHC. The cost-effectiveness study indicated that screening for CHC among immigrants from 183 countries (72.1% of immigrant population in Canada) had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio less than $50,000 per quality adjusted life year gained. Conclusion: Immigrant patients with CHC could have a higher risk of HCC than native-born patients. The significant association between obesity and hepatitis C viremia could explain the observed high prevalence of type 2 diabetes in patients with CHC. CHC reduces the average life expectancy of immigrants with CHC more than 10 years. Screening for CHC is cost-effective among over 70% of immigrants living in Canada.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".