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TRENDS IN THE STEEL MARKET IN 2015-2016

2017· article· en· W2605419869 on OpenAlex
Aleksey Sergeevish Petrenko, Yulia I. Dubova

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueVESTNIK OF ASTRAKHAN STATE TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY SERIES ECONOMICS · 2017
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnergy
TopicCoal and Coke Industries Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsChristian ministryProduct (mathematics)Consumption (sociology)DeflationQuarter (Canadian coin)EconomicsProduction (economics)PoliticsMarket economyEconomyBusinessMacroeconomicsPolitical scienceGeographyMonetary policy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The analysis of the rolled metal market shows that major market players can predict further pricing changes stipulated by challenging political and economic situation in the world. This article focuses on the main factors that influenced the cost of metal at the end of 2014, 2015 and early 2016 and contributed to further price fluctuation. In the new economic environment the world metal market faces dramatic changes. There arise new pricing reforms aiming diversion from a speculative component to a real market price. On the results of 2014, deflation of prices on metal made, by different sources, 12-15% compared to prices at the beginning of the year. Thus, the outlining tendencies force major Russian steel traders (e. g. EVRAZ, MMC, MIC etc.) to redirect their sales from the territory of the Russian Federation to abroad (Europe, Asia, America). According to steel output, in the first quarter of 2015 Russia remained the fifth country in the world. In the nearest future forecasts about steel production in the leading countries-producers don’t estimate any significant growth. The only exception, according to the experts, is a steel market in India, which is actively developing. Domestic product consumption in this sector defines growth rates of metallurgic industry in the mid-term perspective, according to the facts presented by the Ministry of Economic Development.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.792
Threshold uncertainty score0.988

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.248
Teacher spread0.223 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it