Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Intensification to Axisymmetric Heat Sources: The Role of Inertial Stability
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract This study examines the influences of an axisymmetric heat source on the tangential wind structure of a tropical cyclone (TC). Specifically, the response of a TC due to the effect of convection located in varying inertial stability profiles was calculated. Using an idealized heat source, the thermodynamic efficiency hypothesis and the dynamic hypothesis for lower-level tangential wind acceleration are studied with the use of a balanced 2D model. These two frameworks for calculating the lower-level tangential wind acceleration are then compared to an idealized but thermally forced version of a nonlinear 3D model (WRF). It is found that using either of the 2D balanced model approaches to calculate the tangential wind acceleration results in an underestimation when compared to the full nonlinear simulation. In addition, the thermodynamic efficiency approach also shows a radial shift in the location of the maximum lower-level tangential wind acceleration. Sensitivity experiments in the context of the WRF Model in varying background inertial instabilities were investigated. It is shown that as the eyewall-like heating is shifted to larger values of inertial stability, there is a decrease in the induced secondary circulation in tandem with a spinup of the lower-level tangential winds. This intensification appears to be modulated by the low-level radial advection of absolute vorticity.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".