Brittle China? Economic and Political Fragility with Global Implications
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Once regarded as an unstoppable giant and stalwart of the global economy, China today shows signs of economic and political fragility. The interrelated risks of an abrupt economic slowdown, a collapse of the financial system, and political instability in China are now apparent, warn international observers. In spite of these risks, or perhaps because of them, Chinese foreign policy is at its most assertive and activist in decades. A China that is bold, but brittle, presents significant new foreign policy challenges for European countries. To navigate these successfully, European states must develop a coherent and proactive strategy in recognition of both circumstances. This article discusses the state of recent international scholarship and controversy on China's domestic political economy and global engagement. The discussion relates a wave of recent attention to China's mounting domestic economic and political vulnerabilities and points to implications of these developments for China's ambitions to play a leading role in the international system beyond its immediate region.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it