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Record W2732843100 · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2017-016018

Methods, applications, interpretations and challenges of interrupted time series (ITS) data: protocol for a scoping review

2017· review· en· W2732843100 on OpenAlexaff
Joycelyne Ewusie, Erik Blondal, Charlene Soobiah, Joseph Beyene, Lehana Thabane, Sharon E. Straus, Jemila S. Hamid

Bibliographic record

VenueBMJ Open · 2017
Typereview
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicAdvanced Causal Inference Techniques
Canadian institutionsSt. Joseph’s Healthcare HamiltonSt. Michael's HospitalUniversity of TorontoMcMaster UniversityImpact
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineData sciencePsychological interventionProtocol (science)Interrupted Time Series AnalysisTransparency (behavior)Interrupted time seriesIntervention (counseling)Outcome (game theory)MEDLINEResearch designData collectionComputer scienceData miningAlternative medicinePathologyStatistics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

OBJECTIVES: Interrupted time series (ITS) design involves collecting data across multiple time points before and after the implementation of an intervention to assess the effect of the intervention on an outcome. ITS designs have become increasingly common in recent times with frequent use in assessing impact of evidence implementation interventions. Several statistical methods are currently available for analysing data from ITS designs; however, there is a lack of guidance on which methods are optimal for different data types and on their implications in interpreting results. Our objective is to conduct a scoping review of existing methods for analysing ITS data, to summarise their characteristics and properties, as well as to examine how the results are reported. We also aim to identify gaps and methodological deficiencies. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will search electronic databases from inception until August 2016 (eg, MEDLINE and JSTOR). Two reviewers will independently screen titles, abstracts and full-text articles and complete the data abstraction. The anticipated outcome will be a summarised description of all the methods that have been used in analysing ITS data in health research, how those methods were applied, their strengths and limitations and the transparency of interpretation/reporting of the results. We will provide summary tables of the characteristics of the included studies. We will also describe the similarities and differences of the various methods. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval is not required for this study since we are just considering the methods used in the analysis and there will not be identifiable patient data. Results will be disseminated through open access peer-reviewed publications.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.280
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.365
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Systematic review · Consensus signal: Systematic review
GenreCandidate signal: Protocol · Consensus signal: Protocol
Teacher disagreement score0.720
Threshold uncertainty score0.888

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.2800.365
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0060.006
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0110.014
Bibliometrics0.0230.021
Science and technology studies0.0060.008
Scholarly communication0.0110.010
Open science0.0070.009
Research integrity0.0130.012
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0720.021

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.893
GPT teacher head0.742
Teacher spread0.151 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.

Study designSystematic review
DomainMethods
GenreProtocol

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations44
Published2017
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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