Transforming the empirical likelihood towards better accuracy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Under‐coverage has been a long‐standing issue with the empirical likelihood confidence region. Several methods can be used to address this issue, but they all add complexity to the empirical likelihood inference requiring extra computation and/or extra theoretical investigation. The objective of this article is to find a method that does not add complexity. To this end we look for a simple transformation of the empirical likelihood to alleviate the under‐coverage. Using several criteria concerning the accuracy, consistency, and preservation of the geometric appeal of the original empirical likelihood we obtain a transformed version of the empirical likelihood that is extremely simple in theory and computation. Its confidence regions are surprisingly accurate, even in small sample and multidimensional situations. It can be easily used to alleviate the under‐coverage problem of empirical likelihood confidence regions. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 45: 340–352; 2017 © 2017 Statistical Society of Canada
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.020 | 0.205 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.007 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".