Adaptive Swarm Balancing Algorithms for rare-event prediction in imbalanced healthcare data
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Clinical data analysis and forecasting have made substantial contributions to disease control, prevention and detection. However, such data usually suffer from highly imbalanced samples in class distributions. In this paper, we aim to formulate effective methods to rebalance binary imbalanced dataset, where the positive samples take up only the minority. We investigate two different meta-heuristic algorithms, particle swarm optimization and bat algorithm, and apply them to empower the effects of synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) for pre-processing the datasets. One approach is to process the full dataset as a whole. The other is to split up the dataset and adaptively process it one segment at a time. The experimental results reported in this paper reveal that the performance improvements obtained by the former methods are not scalable to larger data scales. The latter methods, which we call Adaptive Swarm Balancing Algorithms, lead to significant efficiency and effectiveness improvements on large datasets while the first method is invalid. We also find it more consistent with the practice of the typical large imbalanced medical datasets. We further use the meta-heuristic algorithms to optimize two key parameters of SMOTE. The proposed methods lead to more credible performances of the classifier, and shortening the run time compared to brute-force method.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it