The latitudinal diversity gradient in New World swallowtail butterflies is caused by contrasting patterns of out‐of‐ and into‐the‐tropics dispersal
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Aim The aim was to determine processes driving the latitudinal diversity gradient (LDG) in New World swallowtail butterfly diversity. We tested three mechanisms commonly invoked to explain the LDG: ecological opportunity, evolutionary rates and biogeographical history. Location New World and Eurasia. Time period Oligocene–Present. Major taxa studied New World swallowtail butterfly clade ( Papilio : Agehana , Alexanoria , Chilasa , Heraclides and Pterourus ). Methods We integrated data from the most complete current phylogeny of this clade with geographical distributions of each species inferred from ecological niche models (ENMs). We tested for correlation between breadth of available abiotic ecological niche space, latitude and differential rates of diversification between tropical and non‐tropical lineages. The clade's history of climatic and geographical occupancy was also reconstructed using both continuous ancestral character reconstructions and biogeographical history inferred under a dispersal–extinction–cladogenesis model. We considered both latitudinal and climatic definitions of tropicality in our reconstructions. Results There was no strong support for ecological opportunity or macroevolutionary processes as latitudinal diversity gradient drivers. Instead, we recovered discordant patterns in phylogenetic reconstructions of latitudinal geographical range and suitable abiotic climate conditions. Heraclides are likely to have originated and diversified in climatically and latitudinally tropical environments before some lineages dispersed to temperate habitats. The Alexanoria + Chilasa + Pterourus clade is likely to have originated in climatically and latitudinally temperate habitat before dispersing and diversifying; some lineages are likely to have dispersed into the latitudinal tropics via highland temperate‐analogue environments. Main conclusions The LDG in New World swallowtails results from complex interactions between ecological niche evolution and biogeographical history; both out‐of‐the‐tropics and into‐the‐tropics processes have contributed to the LDG. Our results present an example where temperate zones appear to be a source, instead of a sink, for biodiversity. Our results emphasize the need to consider biogeographical history not only from the perspective of shifts in geographical space, but also in terms of constraints enforced by ecological niche conservatism.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".