ANALISIS DEL CRECIMIENTO DE LAS ECONOMÍAS EMERGENTES Y DESARROLLADAS ANTES Y DESPUES DE LA PRIMERA CRISIS MUNDIAL / ANALYSIS OF THE GROWTH OF ECONOMIES EMERGING AND DEVELOPED BEFORE AND AFTER THE FIRST GLOBAL CRISIS OF THE XXI CENTURY
Bibliographic record
Abstract
En este documento se tiene como objetivo analizar el comportamiento que han tenido las economias emergentes y desarrolladas desde el ano 1999 hasta el 2016 y parte del 2017, y su relacion con la gran crisis mundial llevada a cabo entre el ano 2008 y el 2009, y al final se hace un enfasis en el caso de Colombia, considerada como una economia Sui Generis en Latinoamerica, por las secuelas que ha generado la violencia en el campo, determinada por los grupos armados y el flagelo del narcotrafico. La metodologia utilizada en este estudio consistio, en comparar un grupo de paises representativos de las economias emergentes y desarrolladas, con el fin de analizar el crecimiento economico de estas, antes y despues de la primera crisis mundial del presente siglo, ademas de algunas variables socioeconomicas, tales como la balanza comercial, el desempleo y nivel de vida, entre otras. La importancia de esta investigacion radica en que permite conocer la incidencia que ha tenido la primera crisis financiera mundial en estas economias, lo que corresponde a un tema de mucha importancia por las repercusiones en el nivel de vida de los habitantes, teniendo en cuenta que afecta las bases de las dimensiones sociales, politicas y del medio ambiente. Por otra parte, es muy sabido que el despegue de las economias emergentes se debe en gran parte a su acceso al mercado de capitales, lo que ha permitido su crecimiento, aunque por supuesto que lleva inmerso un inminente riesgo, debido a lo sensible que es este tipo de mercados ante los cambios o movimientos de las variables politicas de los paises en el ambito mundial. En este articulo se considero el comportamiento del crecimiento economico y social de algunos paises emergentes y desarrollados, como China, India, Singapur, Japon, Alemania, Reino Unido, Estados Unidos, Rusia, Canada, Brasil, Sudafrica, Chile y Colombia. ABSTRACT The objective of this document is to analyze the behavior of emerging and developed economies from 1999 to 2016 and part of 2017, and its relation to the great global crisis carried out between 2008 and 2009. The methodology used in this study consisted in comparing a group of representative countries of the emerging and developed economies, to analyze the economic growth of these, before and after the first global crisis of the present century, in addition to some socioeconomic variables such as the trade balance, unemployment and standard of living. The importance of this research is that it allows to know the incidence of the first world financial crisis in these economies, which corresponds to a subject of great importance for the impact on the standard of living of the inhabitants, considering that it affects the basis of social, political and environmental dimensions. On the other hand, it is well known that the emergence of emerging economies is due in large part to their access to the capital market, which has allowed their growth, although of course it carries immersed an imminent risk, due to how sensitive it is this type of market before the changes or movements of the political variables of the countries in the world-wide scope. In this article, the economic and social growth behavior of some emerging and developed countries such as China, India, Singapore, Japan, Germany, United Kingdom, United States, Russia, Canada, Brazil, South Africa, Chile and Colombia were considered.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".