Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study is to determine the predictive value of clinical suspicion for scaphoid fracture in children aged 4 to 11 years, to look at the efficiency and practicality of current management of children presenting to the emergency department, and to help quantify the burden of the treatment strategy of immobilization for 10 to 14 days on clinical grounds despite negative or equivocal x-rays on presentation. METHODS: We performed a retrospective chart review study of a consecutive sample of all children aged 4 to 11 years old who presented to a tertiary pediatric emergency department from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2013, within 24 hours of a wrist injury, with a clinical suspicion sufficient to order a scaphoid x-ray. Our primary outcome of interest was the positive predictive value of clinical suspicion of a scaphoid fracture. RESULTS: There were 142 patients (144 wrists) included in the study. Of these, 110 had a normal initial x-ray. Initial x-rays showed evidence of nonscaphoid fractures in 30 wrists and equivocal scaphoid fractures in 4 wrists. Of the 110 wrists with normal initial x-rays, 69 were immobilized and 52 of those had a follow-up x-ray (47 normal, 1 scaphoid fracture, 1 nonscaphoid fracture, and 3 equivocal evidence of a scaphoid fracture). The positive predictive value was found to be 2.1% to 12.5%. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that children aged 4 to 11 years with clinical suspicion for scaphoid fractures do not necessarily need to be x-rayed or immobilized. A larger multicentered prospective clinical trial would confirm this.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".