Immunoscore to provide prognostic information in low- (T1-3N1) and high-risk (T4 or N2) subsets of stage III colon carcinoma patients treated with adjuvant FOLFOX in a phase III trial (NCCTG N0147; Alliance).
Bibliographic record
Abstract
614 Background: A consensus interpretation of the IDEA colon cancer study results suggested that risk categories based on T/N stage grouping be used to guide decision-making for duration (3 vs 6 months) of adjuvant FOLFOX or CapeOX chemotherapy. Given the prognostic potential of immune biomarkers, we examined the immunoscore and individual T and B lymphocyte markers in low and high risk T/N subsets of stage III colon carcinoma patients (N=600) treated with adjuvant FOLFOX. Methods: Immunoscore (CD3+, CD8+) and individual T-cell and CD20+ B-cell immunostain densities in central tumor (CT) and invasive margin (IM) of FFPE sections were quantified by image analysis. A predetermined immunoscore categorization was used [high (2-4) vs low (0-1)]. Individual markers were analyzed by backwards selection wherein CD3+ IM was most robust for prognosis and an optimized cutoff was then determined. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS) were analyzed by multivariable Cox regression adjusting for age, T/N stage, sidedness, KRAS/BRAF, and DNA mismatch repair. Results: In low and high risk T/N patient subsets, the immunoscore and CD3+ IM were each significantly discriminant for prognosis. Among low risk (T1-3N1) patients, a high vs low immunoscore was associated with a 91% vs 77% 3-year DFS [HR 0.57, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34-0.95, adjusted (adj) P= 0.026]. Among high risk (T4 or N2) patients, a high vs low immunoscore was associated with a 68% vs 54% 3-year DFS (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.42-0.98, Padj= 0.034]. Similarly, a high vs low intratumoral CD3+ density at the invasive margin (IM) was significantly associated with prognosis in low risk [HR 0.37, 95% CI 0.21- 0.66), Padj< 0.0003] and in high risk [HR 0.47, 95% CI, 0.27- 0.80), Padj< 0.0028] patient subsets. Conclusions: Immunoscore and CD3+ IM were shown to prognostically stratify FOLFOX-treated patients within both low and high risk T/N subsets. These data underscore limitations of the T/N risk classification for adjuvant treatment decisions in stage III patients, and demonstrate the ability of T-cell markers to enhance prognostication to guide clinical decision-making.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".