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Record W2804447316

Failure modeling and analysis of offshore process components

2017· dissertation· en· W2804447316 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Samir Massoud Deyab

Bibliographic record

VenueMemorial University Research Repository (Memorial University) · 2017
Typedissertation
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicRisk and Safety Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsSubseaProcess (computing)Pipeline (software)Failure mode and effects analysisComputer scienceReliability engineeringBayesian networkRisk analysis (engineering)EngineeringSubmarine pipelineArtificial intelligenceMarine engineering
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This thesis investigates the risk of offshore oil and gas processing equipment operating in a harsh environment. It comprises of two major studies which form the core of journal papers submitted for publication. The first study presented a new risk assessment methodology with applications to fire scenarios in compressor and heat exchanger units. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify the critical components, their interdependence, and importance in causing failure. In the second study, a risk assessment approach is proposed that demonstrates how process system failure risk could be assessed in the absence of complete data. The approach also highlighted the importance of interdependence of the failure causation factors. The Bayesian Network (BN) is used in the study to capture interdependence of and uncertainty the variables. Noisy-OR and Leaky Noisy-OR logics are used to improve uncertainty-handling capacity and overcome the data requirement. Application of the proposed approach is demonstrated on a subsea pipeline failure scenario. As a first step, a Bowtie (BT) was developed which captures all the possible failure causes of a leak and shows the potential consequences of a leak in the subsea pipeline. The BT was then mapped to a BN for OR, Noisy-OR and Leaky Noisy-OR logics. Failure probabilities of Subsea Pipeline and its Safety Barriers were calculated with Bow-tie and Bayesian Network for different Logics. Finally, importance analysis was performed for 21 basic events using OR, Noisy- OR and Leaky Noisy OR Logics to determine safety critical elements. In Summary, this thesis provides scientifically sound and applied approaches to conduct risk assessment of process components with limited data. Applications of these approaches demonstrated on different case studies. Use of the proposed approaches would help better understanding of failure and hence improving safety of process system.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.299
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0100.008
Science and technology studies0.0030.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0050.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.084
GPT teacher head0.356
Teacher spread0.272 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2017
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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