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Record W2805188541 · doi:10.1177/0141076818776604

‘Allocation concealment’: the evolution and adoption of a methodological term

2018· review· en· W2805188541 on OpenAlexaff
Kenneth F. Schulz, Iain Chalmers, DG Altman, DA Grimes, David Moher, Richard Hayes

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2018
Typereview
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicHealth Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
Canadian institutionsOttawa Hospital
FundersMedical Research CouncilCancer Research UK
KeywordsTerm (time)Computer scienceData scienceWorld Wide Web

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Random assignment of individual participants in clinical trials entails two steps: (i) generating an unbiased treatment allocation schedule; and (ii) applying the schedule without foreknowledge of upcoming allocations. These two steps were implicit in the famous randomized trial of streptomycin for pulmonary tuberculosis in 1948, and were recognized explicitly in some early books on controlled trials. However, half a century later, no widely accepted term denoting the process of concealing upcoming allocations had been adopted. In 1983 Thomas Chalmers and colleagues termed that process “randomization blinding,” and showed that blinded randomization and unblinded randomization were associated with differing estimates of treatment effects; however, their terminology was subsequently rarely used. In the mid-1990s we suggested that the term “allocation concealment” would be preferable to “blinded randomization,” particularly to avoid terminology that might be confused with blinding of treatments after random allocation. After controlling for more factors than had been accounted for by Chalmers and colleagues, we demonstrated an association between allocation concealment and estimates of treatment effects. Moreover, as further indication of bias, inadequately concealed trials displayed more heterogeneity than adequately concealed trials. Notably, our modeling and methodological approach to examine the associations between trial quality and estimates of treatment effects has gained recognition and achieved replication. A PubMed search for the term “allocation concealment” between 1972 and 1993 in “any field” yielded no instances, compared with 1471 between 1995 and 2016. Google Scholar found 25 matches before 1994 and over 30,000 matches after. Although the term might still be improved to avoid occasional misconceptions about its meaning, we assume that it has been widely adopted by authors and editors because they find the term useful.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.042
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: Review
Teacher disagreement score0.333
Threshold uncertainty score0.986

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0420.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.580
GPT teacher head0.507
Teacher spread0.073 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations14
Published2018
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

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