End-Stage Kidney Disease in Patients With Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease: A 12-Year Study Based on the Canadian Organ Replacement Registry
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the most common hereditary kidney disease, with afflicted patients often progressing to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT). As the timelines to ESKD are predictable over decades, it follows that ADPKD patients should be optimized regarding kidney transplantation, home dialysis therapies, and vascular access. OBJECTIVES: To examine the association of kidney transplantation, dialysis modalities, and vascular access in ADPKD patients compared with a matched, non-ADPKD cohort. SETTING: Canadian patients from 2001-2012 excluding Quebec. PATIENTS: All adult incident ESKD patients who received dialysis or a kidney transplant. MEASUREMENTS: ADPKD as defined by the treating physician. METHODS: ADPKD and non-ADPKD patients were propensity score (PS) matched (1:4) using demographics, comorbidities, and lab values. Conditional logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine associations with kidney transplantation (preemptive or any), dialysis modality (peritoneal, short daily, home, or in-center hemodialysis [HD]), vascular access (arteriovenous fistula [AVF], permanent or temporary central venous catheter [CVC]), and dialysis survival. RESULTS: We matched 2120 ADPKD (99.9%) with 8283 non-ADPKD with no significant imbalances between the groups. ADPKD was significantly associated with preemptive kidney transplantation (odds ratio [OR] = 7.13, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.74-8.87), any kidney transplant (OR = 2.37, 95% CI = 2.14-2.63), and initial therapy of nocturnal daily HD (OR = 2.74, 95% CI = 1.38-5.44), whereas in-center intermittent HD was significantly less likely in the ADPKD population (OR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.54-0.65). There was no difference in peritoneal dialysis (PD) as initial RRT but lower use of any PD among the ADPKD group (OR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.77-0.95). ADPKD patients were significantly more likely to have an AVF (OR = 3.25, 95% CI = 2.79-3.79) and less likely to have either a permanent (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.59-0.78) or temporary (OR = 0.49, 95% CI = 0.41-0.59) CVC as compared with the non-ADPKD cohort. Survival on either in-center HD or PD was better for ADPKD patients (HD: hazard ratio [HR] 0.48, 95% CI 0.44-0.53; PD: HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.60-0.88). LIMITATIONS: Conservative care patients were not captured; despite PS matching, the possibility of residual confounding remains. CONCLUSIONS: ADPKD patients were more likely to receive a kidney transplant, use home HD, dialyze with an AVF, and have better survival relative to non-ADPKD patients. Conversely, they were less likely to receive PD either as initial therapy or anytime during ESKD. This may be attributed to higher transplantation or clinical decision-making processes susceptible to education and intervention.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".