Differential limit on the extremely-high-energy cosmic neutrino flux in the presence of astrophysical background from nine years of IceCube data
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We report a quasidifferential upper limit on the extremely-high-energy (EHE) neutrino flux above $5\ifmmode\times\else\texttimes\fi{}{10}^{6}\text{ }\text{ }\mathrm{GeV}$ based on an analysis of nine years of IceCube data. The astrophysical neutrino flux measured by IceCube extends to PeV energies, and it is a background flux when searching for an independent signal flux at higher energies, such as the cosmogenic neutrino signal. We have developed a new method to place robust limits on the EHE neutrino flux in the presence of an astrophysical background, whose spectrum has yet to be understood with high precision at PeV energies. A distinct event with a deposited energy above $1{0}^{6}\text{ }\text{ }\mathrm{GeV}$ was found in the new two-year sample, in addition to the one event previously found in the seven-year EHE neutrino search. These two events represent a neutrino flux that is incompatible with predictions for a cosmogenic neutrino flux and are considered to be an astrophysical background in the current study. The obtained limit is the most stringent to date in the energy range between $5\ifmmode\times\else\texttimes\fi{}{10}^{6}$ and $2\ifmmode\times\else\texttimes\fi{}{10}^{10}\text{ }\text{ }\mathrm{GeV}$. This result constrains neutrino models predicting a three-flavor neutrino flux of ${E}_{\ensuremath{\nu}}^{2}{\ensuremath{\phi}}_{{\ensuremath{\nu}}_{e}+{\ensuremath{\nu}}_{\ensuremath{\mu}}+{\ensuremath{\nu}}_{\ensuremath{\tau}}}\ensuremath{\simeq}2\ifmmode\times\else\texttimes\fi{}{10}^{\ensuremath{-}8}\text{ }\text{ }\mathrm{GeV}/{\mathrm{cm}}^{2}\text{ }\mathrm{sec}\text{ }\mathrm{sr}$ at $1{0}^{9}\text{ }\text{ }\mathrm{GeV}$. A significant part of the parameter space for EHE neutrino production scenarios assuming a proton-dominated composition of ultra-high-energy cosmic rays is disfavored independently of uncertain models of the extragalactic background light which previous IceCube constraints partially relied on.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it