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Record W2846027767 · doi:10.1136/bmjebm-2018-110922

Shared decision is the only outcome that matters when it comes to evaluating evidence-based practice

2018· article· en· W2846027767 on OpenAlex
James McCormack, Glyn Elwyn

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueBMJ evidence-based medicine · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicHealth Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPopulationArgument (complex analysis)Psychological interventionMedicineHealth careIncidence (geometry)PsychologyNursingPolitical science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Determining if a particular treatment improves important clinical outcomes such as symptoms, overall quality of life, incidence of CVD, mortality, among others typically requires well-designed randomised clinical trials. Once this type of evidence is available, clinicians can then use these treatments in day-to-day practice. Hopefully, we would all agree that almost all day-to-day healthcare decisions should be made at the level of each individual patient. Given that, we are becoming increasingly uneasy observing that evaluations of the impact of evidence-based practice (EBP) are invariably focused on improving population-level health outcomes (overall incidence of heart attacks or hospitalisations) rather than at the individual patient level. We believe this focus is inappropriate and fundamentally flawed for the following reasons.  Population-level health outcomes rarely if ever take into account patient values and preferences and therefore by definition fly directly in the face of the fundamental goals and definition of EBP. Ignoring patient values and preferences or at least not placing them at the forefront of decision making legitimises the argument that the presence of effects at population levels is sufficient justification for recommending treatments even though the absolute magnitude of these changes clearly may not be important to all individual patients. It seems a frame-shift has taken place, where population-level metrics are being applied in error to a phenomenon that should be evaluated at an individual level. Figure 1 illustrates the two frames—one where interventions should, correctly, be evaluated by population-level outcomes, including morbidity, mortality and treatment effects, and the other showing that at the level of individuals, the right outcome is whether a decision informed by the best available evidence is aligned to a patient’s informed preference. Figure 1 Population versus individual outcomes To avoid continuing this individual-to-population frame-shift error, we suggest the key outcome for EBP evaluations should be primarily if not almost exclusively focused on shared …

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Direct model labels (unvalidated)

Per-model category and study-design labels from the labeling rounds. They are machine output, unvalidated, and the disagreement between models ships as data. No study design here is MEDLINE-validated yet.

Model armCategoriesStudy designConfidence
gemmaMetaresearch
Domain: Evaluation · Genre: Empirical
About the Canadian research system: no · About a Canadian topic: no
Theoretical or conceptuallow
gptno category
Domain: not available · Genre: Commentary
About the Canadian research system: no · About a Canadian topic: no
Not applicablelow
models splitAgreement compares identical category sets and study designs across arms.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.091
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.147
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.233
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0910.147
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.002
Open science0.0020.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.009

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.724
GPT teacher head0.569
Teacher spread0.155 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it