Life expectancy and health-adjusted life expectancy are decreased in people living with inflammatory bowel disease: a population-based matched cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
IntroductionInflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a chronic immune-mediated disease of the gastrointestinal tract. Significant improvements in treatments for IBD have occurred in the past two decades. However, the benefits of new treatments on mortality is uncertain and no prior study has evaluated the life expectancy (LE) of patients with IBD.
 Objectives and ApproachWe determined trends in the LE and health-adjusted life expectancy (HALE) in IBD. The Ontario Crohn’s and Colitis Cohort includes all patients in Ontario with IBD, identified from health administrative data using a previously validated algorithm. Cases were matched to five controls based on age, sex, rural/urban, and mean neighbourhood income quintile. Period life tables were used to calculate LE on July 1, 1996, 2000, and 2008. The Canadian National Population Health Survey (1996/97) and Canadian Community Health Survey (Cycles 1.1 and 2009/10) were used to estimate health utility index (HUI3). HALE was estimated using HUI3-weighted disability-free years lived.
 ResultsLE increased from 75.5 years (y) in 1996 to 78.0y in 2008 among women with IBD (∆2.5y, 95%CI 0.8 to 4.1) and from 72.2y in 1996 to 75.1y in 2008 among men with IBD (∆2.9y, 95%CI 1.8 to 4.0). HALE decreased among men with IBD (∆3.9y, 95%CI 1.2 to 6.6; 1996: 67.0y; 2008: 63.1y) but was stable among women with IBD (∆2.0y, 95%CI -1.6 to 5.7; 1996: 62.3y; 2008: 64.3y) and female controls (∆-0.4y, 95%CI -2.3 to 1.5; 1996: 74.3y; 2008: 73.9y) and male controls (∆0.2y, 95%CI -1.7 to 2.2; 1996: 69.6y; 2008: 69.8y). LE and HALE in both men and women with IBD were significantly decreased compared to controls (LE: women ∆6-8y, men ∆5y; HALE: women ∆10-14y, men ∆3-7y).
 Conclusion/ImplicationsAlthough patients with IBD experienced increases in LE at a pace similar to those without IBD, the gap in LE between cases and controls remains significant. Increases in LE have not been accompanied by increases in HALE. Treatments that increase both LE and HALE in patients with IBD are needed.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".