964. Impact of Doxycycline as Malaria Prophylaxis on Risk of Influenza Like Illness Among International Travelers
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background International travelers are often at risk for both influenza like illness (ILI) and malaria. Doxycycline is active against many pathogens causing ILI and is routinely used for malaria prophylaxis. We evaluated the incidence of and risk factors for ILI, and whether the choice of malaria prophylaxis was associated with ILI. Methods TravMil is a prospective observational study enrolling subjects presenting to 6 military travel clinics. We analyzed pre- and post-travel surveys from travelers to regions outside of the continental United States, Western or Northern Europe, Canada, or New Zealand between July 2010 and August 2018. ILI was defined as subjective fever associated with either a sore throat or cough. Characteristics of trip and traveler and the use of malaria prophylaxis were analyzed to determine association with development of ILI. Poisson regression models with robust error variance were used to estimate relative risk of ILI. Results A total of 3,227 travelers were enrolled: 62.1% male, median age of 39 (IQR 27, 59), median travel duration 19 days (IQR 12, 49). 32% traveled to Africa, 40% to Asia, and 27% to the Caribbean, Mexico, and Central or South America. Military travel (46%) and vacation (40%) were most common reasons for travel. Twenty percent took doxycycline for malaria prophylaxis, 50% other prophylaxis (89% atovaquone–proguanil), and 30% took none. 8.7% developed ILI. Compared with those on no or other prophylaxis, doxycycline was associated with decreased risk of ILI [RR 0.65 (0.43–0.99), P = 0.046], as was military travel [RR 0.30 (0.21–0.43), P < 0.01]. Increased risk of ILI was associated with female gender [RR 1.57 (1.24–1.98), P < 0.01], travel to Asia [RR 1.37 (1.08–1.75), P = 0.01], cruises [RR 2.21 (1.73–2.83), P < 0.01], and longer duration of travel [RR 1.01 (1.00–1.01, P < 0.01]. Conclusion The use of doxycycline is associated with a decreased risk of ILI compared with taking no or other malaria prophylaxis. The reasons for this are unclear but may be related to anti-inflammatory effects, activity against bacterial respiratory pathogens, effects on disease transmission in closed populations (e.g., military deploying groups), or other unmeasured factors. With few proven strategies for decreasing ILI risk in travelers, these findings bear further investigation. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".