Epidemiology and liver transplantation burden of primary biliary cholangitis: a retrospective cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: There is a wealth of data documenting the epidemiology of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) globally; however, the epidemiology of PBC has not been as well studied in Canada. Our study characterized the Canadian prevalence of PBC and the number of liver transplantations because of PBC. METHODS: For this retrospective cohort study we used national hospital administrative records from the Canadian Institute for Health Information, with the exception of Quebec for the prevalence estimate and Quebec and British Columbia for the transplant analysis. Prevalent patients were identified through a diagnostic code for PBC of the Canadian version of the 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases. PBC transplant patients were identified from their transplant record. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the characteristics of the study cohorts. RESULTS: In 2015, 8680 patients with PBC were identified in Canada, translating to a prevalence of 318 cases per million. Annual prevalence by province varied, ranging from 283 (95% confidence interval [CI] 269-297) cases per million to 465 (95% CI 426-504) cases per million, and the 6-year PBC liver transplantation rate ranged from 3.17 (95% CI 1.27-6.54) to 5.92 (95% CI 3.71-9.08) per million. The Atlantic provinces exhibited the highest PBC prevalence and close to the highest 6-year liver transplantation rate (465 [95% CI 426-504] cases per million and 5.70 [95% CI 426-504, 3.19-9.56] cases per million, respectively). We observed the lowest PBC prevalence (283 [95% CI 269-297] cases per million) and the second lowest 6-year liver transplantation rate in Ontario (3.37 [95% CI 2.47-4.50] cases per million). INTERPRETATION: The prevalence of PBC that we found in Canada is similar to the prevalence reported in other studies, but our work also indicates geographic variation within this country. Given our finding of geographic clustering of PBC across Canada, we hypothesize that environmental and genetic factors contribute to the pathogenesis of this condition.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".