The risk of breast cancer in <i>BRCA1</i> and <i>BRCA2</i> mutation carriers without a first‐degree relative with breast cancer
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The objective of this study was to estimate the lifetime risk of breast cancer in women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation with and without at least 1 first-degree relative with breast cancer. A total of 2835 women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation were followed. Age- and gene-specific breast cancer rates were calculated. The relative risks of breast cancer for subjects with a family history of breast cancer, compared to no family history were calculated. The mean age at baseline was 41.1 years, and they were followed for a mean of 6.0 years. The estimated penetrance of breast cancer to age 80 years was 60.8% for BRCA1 and 63.1% for BRCA2. For all BRCA carriers, the penetrance of breast cancer to age 80 for those with no first-degree relative with breast cancer was 60.4% and 63.3% for those with at least 1 first-degree relative with breast cancer. The risk of breast cancer for BRCA carriers with no first-degree relative with breast cancer is substantial, and as a result, clinical management for these women should be the same as those for women with an affected relative.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".