The Weighted Nearest Neighbor Estimate for Hammerstein System Identification
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper concerns the nonparametric identification problem for a class of nonlinear discrete-time dynamical systems that is characterized by its cascade structure. This is a Hammerstein system being a series connection of a nonlinear memoryless element followed by a linear dynamic system. The input-output training data generated from the system are dependent and they do not reveal the strong mixing property. The nonlinear part of the system is recovered with the weighted <i xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">k</i> -nearest neighbor regression estimate. The a priori information is nonparametric, both the nonlinear characteristic and the impulse response of the linear part are completely unknown and can be of any form. Local and global properties of the estimate are examined. Whatever the probability density of the input signal, the estimate converges at every continuity point of the characteristic as well as in the global sense. We derive the formulas for asymptotic bias and the variance and evaluate the corresponding rate of convergence. The convergence rate is independent of the shape of the input density and is proved to be optimal. These results allow us to find a set of optimal nonnegative weights that further improve the accuracy of our estimation algorithm. Our findings are supported by simulation experiments.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it