International Migration in Ireland, 2011. WP434. May 2012
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The population of Ireland (Republic) continued to increase during 2010, to an estimated 4,484,300 in April 2011. However, in the context of the economic crisis, immigration declined to 31,000 in the twelve months to April 2010 and increased slightly to 42,300 in the twelve months to April 2011. Migratory outflows have also increased in recent years, as returning immigrants have added their numbers to emigrating Irish nationals. In the twelve months to April 2011, the inflow of 42,000 was offset by an estimated outflow of over 76,000, resulting in net outward migration of 34,100. In terms of non-Irish nationals relative to nationals, by the second quarter of 2011 the impact of the recession is evident and the total number of non-Irish nationals in the adult population had fallen to 374,000 or 10.7%.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.008 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.072 | 0.034 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".