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Record W2918963779

Canadian economic growth and the Reciprocity Treaty of 1854

2013· preprint· en· W2918963779 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
M.J. Hinton

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2013
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCanadian Identity and History
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTreatyLegislatureGeographyPolitical scienceEconomyFisheryLawEconomics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

"The Reciprocity Treaty of 1854 is on the short-list of topics that continue to fascinate Canadian economic historians. A precursor of the 1989 Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement, the Treaty created a preferential free trade area in natural or primary products - such as wheat, oats, barley, timber, fish, and coal - that lasted just over 11 years (1855-1866) between the primary-product and export-based small open economy of the Province of Canada, now Ontario and Quebec, and four other much-smaller open economy Atlantic provinces of British North America (BNA) and the much larger, more protected, and less trade-based economy of the United States. Signed on June 5, 1854, the Treaty went into effect region-by-region as it was ratified by the legislatures in the 6 separate regions to which it applied, first in BNA between July and December in 1854 and then in the United States in March 1855 (Haynes 1892, p. 18). Negotiated skillfully by Lord Elgin, who had been appointed by the British government to act on behalf of BNA, the Treaty also settled a long-standing fisheries dispute, allowing American and British North American fishers to use each other’s coastal fisheries north of Florida within the 3 mile limit, ended export taxes on American timber sent down from Maine on New Brunswick’s Saint John river, and, finally, allowed American and British North American ships access to the waterways and canals of the Great Lakes and the St Lawrence without extra duties. The operation of the Treaty coincided with a period of great prosperity for pre-confederation Canada. Current dollar GNP grew at 7.3 percent a year in the 1850s, constant dollar GNP at between 3.5 and 4.6 percent a year (depending on the price index used to deflate current dollar GNP). Not until the turn of the twentieth century would Canada grow faster. How much of the economic growth of the Province of Canada, the largest and richest province of BNA, can justly be attributed to the operation of the Reciprocity Treaty of 1854?"

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.012
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.109
Threshold uncertainty score0.791

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.012
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.003
Science and technology studies0.0210.011
Scholarly communication0.0110.004
Open science0.0020.005
Research integrity0.0070.012
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0170.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.020
GPT teacher head0.277
Teacher spread0.256 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2013
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics→Same topicCanadian Identity and History→French-language works237,207→