Clinical validation of circulating cytokines as markers of prognosis and response to docetaxel in men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
230 Background: Elevated circulating macrophage inhibitory cytokine -1 /growth differentiation factor 15 (MIC-1/GDF15), interleukins 4 (IL4) and 6 (IL6) levels were associated with poor prognosis and resistance to docetaxel chemotherapy in an exploratory cohort of men with metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). To establish level 2 evidence of biomarker utility, these cytokines were tested in internal and external validation cohorts. Methods: Internal validation cohort: Plasma samples taken at baseline (BL) and preC2 docetaxel (n = 120). MIC-1/GDF15, IL-4 and IL-6 measured by ELISA assay. External validation cohort: Serum samples taken at BL and/or preC3 docetaxel in 430 men with mCRPC on phase III SYNERGY study (docetaxel +/- custirsen as 1 st line chemotherapy in mCRPC with no OS benefit in the experimental arm). MIC-1/GDF15 measured by ELISA assay. Associations between cytokine levels, PSA response, time to PSA progression and OS were assessed by non-parametric tests and Cox Regression survival analyses. Results: Internal validation: At a median follow-up of 14 months, higher MIC-1/GDF15 levels at BL and preC2 were associated with shorter OS (BL; HR 1.2 95%CI 1.0-1.4; p = 0.03 and preC2; HR 1.3 95%CI 1.1-1.5; p = 0.004). Increase in MIC-1/GDF15 after chemotherapy correlated with lack of PSA response (p < 0.001). IL4 and IL6 did not correlate with survival or demonstrate additional value. External validation: At a median follow-up of 23 months, higher MIC-1/GDF15 levels at BL and preC3 predicted shorter OS (BL; HR 1.4 95%CI 1.2-1.6; p < 0.0001 and preC3; HR 1.6 95%CI 1.3-1.8; p < 0.0001). Higher pre C3 MIC-1/GDF15 levels were also associated with shorter time to PSA progression (HR 1.2 95% CI 1.0-1.4; p = 0.02). Rise in MIC-1/GDF15 from BL to preC3 correlated with lack of 50% PSA fall at 12 weeks (p < 0.001). Conclusions: Adherence to a biomarker development pipeline provides level 2 evidence of the prognostic value of circulating MIC-1/GDF15 in men with mCRPC receiving docetaxel. A prospective biomarker led study is now necessary to establish clinical utility.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".