Prevalence of Hypertension, Treatment, and Blood Pressure Targets in Canada Associated With the 2017 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association Blood Pressure Guidelines
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: The 2017 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) blood pressure (BP) guidelines redefined hypertension using a BP threshold of 130/80 mm Hg or greater and applied a treatment target of less than 130/80 mm Hg. Objective: To evaluate the potential change in the diagnosis, treatment, and control of hypertension in a Canadian cohort of patients with hypertension attending primary care practices using the ACC/AHA guidelines. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study used primary care practices across Canada electronic medical record data from the Canadian Primary Care Sentinel Surveillance Network, extracted as of June 30, 2015. Adults with at least 1 primary care encounter in the previous 2 years (July 1, 2013, to June 30, 2015) were included in the study. Those with current hypertension were identified using a validated definition consisting of diagnoses, billing codes, and/or antihypertensive medication from within the primary care electronic medical record. Data analysis was conducted from December 2017 to July 2018. Main Outcomes and Measures: Proportion of individuals with a diagnosis of hypertension, prescribed antihypertensive medication, and meeting treatment BP targets. Results: Of the 594 492 Canadian participants included in the study, 144 348 (24.2%) had hypertension (45.6% male; mean [SD] age, 65.5 [14.5] years). On applying the ACC/AHA guidelines, 252 279 individuals (42.4%) were considered hypertensive and half (51.0%; 95% CI, 50.8%-51.2%) were prescribed an antihypertensive medication. Individuals who were not previously considered to have hypertension but were reclassified as having elevated BP using the lower cutoff of 130/80 mm Hg or greater tended to be younger and were at lower cardiovascular risk. There was a shift toward more individuals requiring antihypertensive treatment, particularly in the lower-risk categories. The crude prevalence of hypertension increased from 13.3% to 32.0% in those aged 18 to 64 years, and of those aged 65 years and older, 16.6% more individuals were reclassified as having hypertension (from 55.2% to 71.8%). Only 12.3% of those who were considered at high risk were reclassified as hypertensive. Conclusions and Relevance: Adoption of the ACC/AHA BP guidelines would result in a near doubling in the prevalence of hypertension in Canada. The changes would largely affect individuals who are younger and at low to moderate cardiovascular risk.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".