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Record W2941880205

Reasons for intending to have no children in Tehran, Iran

2019· article· en· W2941880205 on OpenAlexaff
Amir Erfani, Javad Shojaei

Bibliographic record

VenueDOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicDemographic Trends and Gender Preferences
Canadian institutionsNipissing University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsResidenceWorryCluster samplingDescriptive statisticsPopulationFertilityPsychologyInterviewDemographySociologyStatistics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background and Objective: Over the past two decades the total fertility rate has remained the below-replacement level (two children per woman), which can lead to aging population and hence shortage of labor forces required for the development of the country. This research aimed to study reasons behind the intention to have no children. Materials and Methods: This descriptive study uses data from the 2012 Tehran Survey of Fertility Intentions (n= 2267), conducted among married men and women under aged 36 living in 22 districts of the city of Tehran. The samples were selected by a two stage cluster random sampling method, and a structured questionnaire was used to collect data by interviewing respondents face-to-face at the door of their residence. Using SPSS version 24 and descriptive statistics, reasons for not wanting children were examined according to respondents’ socio-economic characteristics. Results: Overall, 40% (902) of respondents reported that they intend not to have any children in the future. Number of living children was negatively related to the intention to have children. About 9% (67) of childless respondents reported that they intend to remain childless forever, and 34% (302) of respondents with one child and 81% (443) of those having two children stated that they intend to stop childbearing. “Not being able to afford the cost of raising children” (27%), “having the desired number of children” (25%), “being worry about the future of their children” (15%) as the most important reasons for not wanting any (more) children. The other reason for intending not to have children was “conflict of childbearing with own personal life, plans and interests” (16%), which was reported largely by men, and those with higher levels of education and income, and those with one or no child. Respondents also reported “spouse’s opposition” 6%) and “problems in spousal relationships” (2%) as the other reasons for wanting no more children. Conclusion: The study showed that beyond of economic reasons, uncertainty about children’s future and childbearing-personal life conflict are two other important cultural and social reasons for low fertility intention, which are required to be considered by policy makers developing or tailoring the country’s population policies. DOI: http://doi.org/10.22037/ch.v6i2.22583

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScholarly communication, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.070
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.002
Open science0.0030.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.296
GPT teacher head0.571
Teacher spread0.275 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations6
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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