Intrafamilial Variability of ADPKD
Bibliographic record
Abstract
IntroductionDiscordance in kidney disease severity between affected relatives is a recognized feature of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). Here, we report a systematic study of a large cohort of families to define the prevalence and clinical features of intrafamilial discordance in ADPKD.MethodsThe extended Toronto Genetic Epidemiology Study of Polycystic Kidney Disease (eTGESP) cohort includes 1390 patients from 612 unrelated families with ADPKD ascertained in a regional polycystic kidney disease center. All probands underwent comprehensive PKD1 and PKD2 mutation screening. Total kidney volume by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was available in 500 study patients.ResultsBased on (i) rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline, (ii) age at onset of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and (iii) Mayo Clinic Imaging Classification (MCIC), 20% of patients were classified as having mild disease, and 33% as having severe disease. Intrafamilial ADPKD discordance with at least 1 mild and 1 severe case was observed in 43 of 371 (12%) families, at a similar frequency regardless of the responsible gene (PKD1/PKD2/no mutation detected) or mutation type (protein-truncating versus nontruncating). Intrafamilial discordance was more common in larger families and was present in 30% of families with more than 5 affected members. The heritability of age at onset of ESRD was similar between different mutation types.ConclusionExtreme kidney disease discordance is present in at least 12% of families with ADPKD, regardless of the underlying mutated gene or mutation class. Delineating genetic and environmental modifiers underlying the observed intrafamilial ADPKD variability will provide novel insights into the mechanisms of progression in ADPKD.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".