The significance of volcanic ash in Greenland ice cores during the Common Era
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Polar ice cores provide long, continuous and well-dated records of past volcanism and have contributed significantly to our understanding of volcanic impacts on climate and society. Sulphate aerosols deposited in the ice are essential for determining the effective radiative forcing potential of past eruptions, but calculations are improved with knowledge of eruption source parameters. Only the co-deposition of volcanic ash can presently confirm the source eruption. Here we review the current state of knowledge regarding the representation of volcanic ash in Common Era ice cores from Greenland and consider what the tephras reveal about the volcanic records in the ice. We augment the published record with a large dataset of previously unreported tephras , the result of a programme of targeted sampling guided by microparticle records that allow us to home in on tephra layers with variable temporal relationships to sulphate aerosol deposition. In addition to revealing the extensive source region of tephra that disperses to Greenland, our review explores for the first time some of the insights provided by the ash about the eruptions, such as the magma type and eruption style. We consider the characteristics of eruptions associated with varying degrees of climate responses and find that the strongest forcing tends to be associated with those producing mafic to intermediate tephra, and that phreatomagmatic processes are commonly involved. The frequent occurrence of multiple eruptions in these instances may also play a role in accentuating the climate response. We note consistencies in the timing of particulate and sulphate aerosol fallout from Icelandic (synchronous) and Alaskan (ash before sulphates) regions, with greater delays (one or more years) for stratospheric transport from tropical eruptions. We outline remaining avenues of research on ice-core tephra that promise to throw light on past volcanic eruption processes, including volatile release and transport, as well as the frequency and impact of small-to-moderate eruptions. We advocate greater integration of wide-ranging tephra research towards a better understanding of volcano-climate relationships.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".