JOINT BAYESIAN ESTIMATION OF MUTATION LOCATION AND AGE USING LINKAGE DISEQUILIBRIUM
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Associations between disease and marker alleles on chromosomes in populations can arise as a consequence of historical forces such as mutation, selection and genetic drift, and is referred to as "linkage disequilibrium" (LD). LD can be used to estimate the map position of a disease mutation relative to a set of linked markers, as well as to estimate other parameters of interest, such as mutation age. Parametric methods for estimating the location of a disease mutation using marker linkage disequilibrium in a sample of normal and affected individuals require a detailed knowledge of population demography, and in particular require users to specify the postulated age of a mutation and past population growth rates. A new Bayesian method is presented for jointly estimating the position of a disease mutation and its age. The method is illustrated using haplotype data for the cystic fibrosis deltaF508 mutation in Europe and the DTD mutation in Finland. It is shown that, for these datasets, the posterior probability distribution of disease mutation location is insensitive to the population growth rate when the model is averaged over possible mutation ages using a prior probability distribution for the mutation age based on the population frequency of the disease mutation. Fewer assumptions are therefore needed for parametric LD mapping.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.035 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".