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Record W2947228081 · doi:10.1503/cjs.009418

The impact of delayed source control and antimicrobial therapy in 196 patients with cholecystitis-associated septic shock: a cohort analysis

2019· article· en· W2947228081 on OpenAlexaffvenue
Constantine Karvellas, Victor Dong, Juan G. Abraldeṣ, E Lester, Anand Kumar

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Journal of Surgery · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
Canadian institutionsUniversity of ManitobaUniversity of Alberta
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineSeptic shockInternal medicineOdds ratioCholecystitisConfidence intervalCohortAPACHE IILogistic regressionProportional hazards modelShock (circulatory)SurgeryGastroenterologyIntensive care unitSepsisGallbladder

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background: Cholecystitis-associated septic shock carries a significant mortality. Our aim was to determine whether timing of source control affects survival in cholecystitis patients with septic shock. Methods: We conducted a nested cohort study of all patients with cholecystitis-associated septic shock from an international, multicentre database (1996–2015). Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine associations between clinical factors and in-hospital mortality. The results were used to inform a classification and regression tree (CART) analysis that modelled the association between disease severity (APACHE II), time to source control and survival. Results: Among 196 patients with cholecystitis-associated septic shock, overall mortality was 37%. Compared with nonsurvivors (n = 72), survivors (n = 124) had lower mean admission APACHE II scores (21 v. 27, p < 0.001) and lower median admission serum lactate (2.4 v. 6.8 μmol/L, p < 0.001). Survivors were more likely to receive appropriate antimicrobial therapy earlier (median 2.8 v. 6.1 h from shock, p = 0.012). Survivors were also more likely to undergo successful source control earlier (median 9.8 v. 24.7 h from shock, p < 0.001). Adjusting for covariates, APACHE II (odds ratio [OR] 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06–1.21 per increment) and delayed source control > 16 h (OR 4.45, 95% CI 1.88–10.70) were independently associated with increased mortality (all p < 0.001). The CART analysis showed that patients with APACHE II scores of 15–26 benefitted most from source control within 16 h (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: In patients with cholecystitis-associated septic shock, admission APACHE II score and delay in source control (cholecystectomy or percutaneous cholecystostomy drainage) significantly affected hospital outcomes.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.004
Threshold uncertainty score0.987

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.015
GPT teacher head0.246
Teacher spread0.231 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations12
Published2019
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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