Automatically Detecting Peer-to-Peer Lending Intermediary Risk—Top Management Team Profile Textual Features Perspective
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Peer-to-Peer lending is developing quickly around the world as a new E-finance industry, especially in China. Yet fraudulence and business ceasing of Peer-to-Peer Lending Intermediaries (P2P-INTs) occur frequently, making P2P investors facing serious risk. This paper attempts to explore a bridge connecting managerial research with some most advanced natural language processing (NLP) technologies, and examines the risk assessing power of automatic learning text classifiers based on data of hazard status and top management team profile texts of the P2P-INTs. A risk evaluation model named MULTIPLE NLP Integrated Learning Text Classifier (MUN-LETCLA) based on five NLP techniques and meta-learning is proposed. Then risk classification power of the MUN-LETCLA and the single NLP models is assessed. The results show that the proposed model is effective in classifying low-risk and high-risk P2P-INTs. The NLP models can automatically detect the P2P-INTs risk from Top Management Team (TMT) members’ working experience, educational background, and TMT composition with a precision level of more than 75%.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.003 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".