OSSOS. XIV. The Plane of the Kuiper Belt
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract The orbits of solar system objects are subject to perturbations by other massive bodies and slowly precess about a forced (averaged) plane. Warps in the plane come from the effects of the total planetary system, so discrepancies from expectation can show the presence of any unseen planets. We investigate the orbital inclination distribution from 42.4 to 150 au with the nonresonant trans-Neptunian discoveries and the survey simulator of the Outer Solar System Origins Survey (OSSOS). We statistically determine local forced planes and the widths of the populations’ inclination distributions. Between the ν 18 (near 40.3 au) and the 2:1 (at 47.5 au), the derived forced plane and the expected forced plane (from secular perturbations due to the known planets) match very well. As in previous studies, we reject the ecliptic as the forced plane. We also reject the invariable plane inside of 44.4 au, beyond which the forced plane starts approaching the invariable plane. From 44.4 to 150 au the forced plane is consistent with the invariable plane, as expected based on the known planets. The dynamically cold Kuiper belt (between the ν 18 and the 2:1 resonance) is best fit with a free inclination width of only ≃1.°75, strongly limiting its past perturbation. The dynamically excited populations have broader inclination distributions: the hot Kuiper belt is ≃14° wide, and nonresonant orbits in the semimajor axis range beyond the 2:1 resonance out to 150 au have an inclination width of ≃17°. The OSSOS data do not strengthen claims of present additional Mars-mass planets within ∼100 au.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.010 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".