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Record W2977385054 · doi:10.1177/002795010300100106

Prospects for the European Union

2003· article· en· W2977385054 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueNational Institute Economic Review · 2003
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicRegional Development and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEconomicsQuarter (Canadian coin)Investment (military)Real gross domestic productRest (music)European unionInternational economicsMonetary economicsGeographyPolitical science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In the first half of this year, the Euro Area economy continued to lag behind much of the rest of the world. After stagnating in the first quarter, GDP contracted by 0.1 per cent in the second quarter following an average quarterly expansion of 0.3 per cent in 2002. The appreciation of the euro is largely to blame for this development, taking a toll on exports. The weak outcome for the first half of the year, coupled with the appreciation in the nominal effective exchange rate by about 6.9 per cent over the same period and weak prospects for private investment, dampens the outlook for the year as a whole. Industrial production declined by 0.4 per cent in August, supporting our assessment that a Euro Area recovery is not yet underway. In light of the most recent evidence, we have revised our estimate for Euro Area growth in 2003 downward to just below ½ per cent. However, we continue to expect a more pronounced pick-up in growth to around 1¾ per cent in 2004, as domestic and external demand both strengthen. Output growth in the Euro Area is projected to return towards trend levels of about 2½-2¾ per cent per annum in 2005. The output gap in the Euro Area is expected to widen further in the second half of 2003, with the economy returning to capacity output in 2006.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.910
Threshold uncertainty score0.650

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.097
GPT teacher head0.368
Teacher spread0.271 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it