Abstract O.60: Kawasaki Disease Complicated by Coronary Artery Aneurysms: Mortality and 40-year Outcomes
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Long-term outcomes and life expectancy for children with a previous history of Kawasaki disease (KD), particularly those with coronary artery aneurysms (CAA), remain to be determined. Methods: An inception cohort of all patients with KD assessed at The Hospital for Sick Children in Toronto between 1978 and 2013 was assembled. Patient outcomes were obtained throughout their pediatric and adult clinical follow-up as long as available. Prevalence of outcomes over time was modelled with Kaplan-Meier survival curves. Life tables from Statistics Canada were used to obtain age/gender specific cumulative mortality for the general population. Results: The cohort included 2,623 KD patients, of whom 410 (16%) had coronary artery involvement (215 dilatation, 57 non-giant CAA and 138 giant CAA). Average follow-up for patients with coronary artery involvement was 6.7 years (13.3 years for giant CAA); 57 and 34 patients had at least 15 and 25 years of follow-up, respectively. No patients with coronary artery dilatation or non-giant CAA had revascularization or a myocardial infarct. Freedom from revascularization (14 events) for patients with giant CAA was 90±6%, 87±7% and 80±13% at 10, 20 and 40 years of follow-up. Freedom from myocardial infarct (11 events) was 94±4%, 92±5% and 89±7% at 5, 20 and 40 years. For patients without coronary artery involvement, 3 (0.1%) deaths were recorded, one secondary to complications of macrophage activation syndrome during the acute phase of KD and 2 from cancer. No deaths were noted for patients with coronary artery dilatation or non-giant CAA, although clinical follow-up was more limited. For patients with giant CAA, 3 deaths (2.2%) were noted, 2 related to CAA complications and 1 from non-medical cause. Cumulative mortality for patients with giant CAA was 1.5% at 10 years of age (expected mortality 0.7%, HR: 2.2 (0.3-11.5), p=0.08) and 3.1% at 40 years of age (expected 2.3%, HR: 1.3 (0.4-4.0), p=0.37). Conclusions: Despite risks of myocardial infarction and revascularization, patients with giant CAA had life-expectancy similar to that of the general population up to the fourth decade of life. Additional follow-up will be necessary to determine if these trends continue into later decades.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".