THE IMPORTANCE OF MAINTAINING PHYSICAL ACTIVITY FOR TRANSITIONS BETWEEN COGNITIVE STATES: A COORDINATED ANALYSIS
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Although existing research shows that physical activity (PA) protects against cognitive decline, it is unclear if maintenance of PA throughout older adulthood influences the timing of onset or transitions through cognitive states. Further understanding of modifiable lifestyle factors that protect against cognitive changes characteristic of both normal aging and pathological aging, such as Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, is imperative. Data were drawn from fourteen longitudinal studies of aging from Europe and America (total N=53,069). Controlling for demographics and chronic conditions, multi-state models were independently fit between datasets to investigate the impact of PA (computed based on Metabolic Equivalent of Task Method) on the likelihood of transitioning through three cognitive states, while also accounting for death as a competing risk factor. Random effects meta-analysis of transition probabilities indicated that more PA was associated with a reduced risk of transitioning from normal cognition to mildly impaired cognition (HR=0.90, CI’s=0.84, 0.97, p=0.007) and death (HR=0.24, CI’s=0.06, 0.92, p=0.04), as well as an increased likelihood of transitioning from severe impairment back to mild impairment (HR=1.09, CI’s=1.01, 1.17, p=0.03). Engagement in national minimum recommendations for PA (~150 minutes/week) increased total life expectancy for 70 year old males and females by 4.08 and 5.47 years, respectively. These results suggest that engaging in at least 150 minutes of physical activity per week in older adulthood contributes to delays in onset of mild cognitive impairment, substantially increases life expectancy, and may also diminish the symptoms that contribute to poor cognitive performance at the severely impaired stage.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".