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Record W2990108506 · doi:10.22323/1.236.1042

The Multi-Mission Maximum Likelihood framework

2016· article· en· W2990108506 on OpenAlexaff
G. Vianello, R. Lauer, Patrick Younk, L. Tibaldo, J. Michael Burgess, H. A. Ayala Solares, J. P. Harding, C. M. Hui, N. Omodei, H. Zhou

Bibliographic record

VenueProceedings of The 34th International Cosmic Ray Conference — PoS(ICRC2015) · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicAstrophysics and Cosmic Phenomena
Canadian institutionsOccupational and Environmental Medical Association of Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer scienceMaximum likelihoodStatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Astrophysical sources are now observed by many different instruments at different wavelengths, from radio to high-energy gamma-rays, with an unprecedented quality.Putting all these data together to form a coherent view, however, is a very difficult task.Each instrument has its own data format, software and analysis procedure, which are difficult to combine.It is for example very challenging to perform a broadband fit of the energy spectrum of the source.The Multi-Mission Maximum Likelihood framework (3ML) aims to solve this issue, providing a common framework which allows for a coherent modeling of sources using all the available data, independent of their origin.At the same time, thanks to its architecture based on plug-ins, 3ML uses the existing official software of each instrument for the corresponding data in a way which is transparent to the user.3ML is based on the likelihood formalism, in which a model summarizing our knowledge about a particular region of the sky is convolved with the instrument response and compared to the corresponding data.The user can choose between a frequentist analysis, and a Bayesian analysis.In the former, parameters of the model are optimized in order to obtain the best match to the data (i.e., the maximum of the likelihood).In the latter, the priors specified by the user are used to build the posterior distribution, which is then sampled with Markov Chain Monte Carlo or Multinest.Our implementation of this idea is very flexible, allowing the study of point sources as well as extended sources with arbitrary spectra.We will review the problem we aim to solve, the 3ML concepts and its innovative potential.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.011
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.017
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.011
Threshold uncertainty score0.057

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0110.017
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0060.005
Open science0.0060.004
Research integrity0.0030.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.251
Teacher spread0.235 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations27
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueProceedings of The 34th International Cosmic Ray Conference — PoS(ICRC2015)→Same topicAstrophysics and Cosmic Phenomena→French-language works237,207→