No evidence of disease activity status in patients treated with early vs. delayed subcutaneous interferon β-1a
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) is defined as a monophasic clinical episode highly suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS). Regardless, studies have shown that treatment at this early stage of MS can delay a second event and prolong the transition to clinically diagnosed MS. The objective of this post-hoc analysis was to determine the effect of early CIS treatment with once weekly (qw) or three times weekly (tiw) subcutaneous interferon (scIFN) β-1a vs. delayed treatment (DT) on the composite endpoint of no evidence of disease activity (NEDA)-3. METHODS: In REFLEX, patients with CIS were randomized to double-blind scIFN β-1a 44 µg tiw, qw, or placebo for 24 months. Upon clinically-definite MS, patients switched to open-label scIFN β-1a tiw. Patients who completed REFLEX entered an extension (REFLEXION). Patients initially randomized to placebo switched to tiw (DT); scIFN β-1a patients continued their initial qw/tiw regimen for up to 60-months post-randomization. This post-hoc analysis was conducted in the integrated intent-to-treat REFLEX plus REFLEXION population (tiw, n = =171; qw, n = =175; DT, n = =171). All p values are nominal. CIS was defined using the McDonald 2010 criteria. RESULTS: Patients receiving early treatment (ET) with scIFN β-1a tiw and qw were more likely to achieve NEDA-3 than DT at year 2 (tiw vs. DT: OR 4.26, 95% CI 2.02-8.98, p = =0.0001; qw vs. DT: OR 2.99, 95% CI 1.39-6.43, p = =0.005). Compared with DT, ET with scIFN β-1a tiw was more likely to achieve NEDA-3 at year 3 (OR 3.73, 95% CI 1.63-8.55, p = =0.002) and year 5 (OR 12.96, 95% CI 1.66-101.04, p = =0.015). Between ET regimens, the odds of achieving NEDA-3 were not significantly improved by scIFN β-1a 44 µg tiw at year 2 (OR 1.42, 95% CI 0.81-2.50, p = =0.22) but were at year 3 (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.11-4.60, p = =0.024) and year 5 (OR 3.22, 95% CI 1.01-10.22, p = =0.048), indicating that the beneficial effects of more frequent scIFN β-1a dosing become more apparent over time in patients with CIS. In the subgroup of patients with Gd+ lesions at baseline the odds for achieving NEDA-3 were higher for ET up to year 2 compared with DT (tiw: OR 10.21, 95% CI 1.23-84.82, p = =0.03; qw: OR 8.97, 95% CI 1.08-74.28, p = =0.04). In patients without Gd+ lesions at baseline, those receiving ET were more likely to achieve NEDA-3 at year 2 (OR 3.56, 95% CI 1.56-8.10, p = =0.003), year 3 (OR 2.54, 95% CI 1.05-6.18, p = =0.04) and year 5 (OR 9.63, 95% CI 1.19-77.79, p = =0.034) than patients who received DT. CONCLUSIONS: ET with scIFN β-1a tiw was associated with a higher likelihood of achieving NEDA-3 not only at 2 but also at 3 and 5 years.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".