No evidence of disease activity status in patients treated with early vs. delayed subcutaneous interferon β-1a
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) is defined as a monophasic clinical episode highly suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS). Regardless, studies have shown that treatment at this early stage of MS can delay a second event and prolong the transition to clinically diagnosed MS. The objective of this post-hoc analysis was to determine the effect of early CIS treatment with once weekly (qw) or three times weekly (tiw) subcutaneous interferon (scIFN) β-1a vs. delayed treatment (DT) on the composite endpoint of no evidence of disease activity (NEDA)-3. METHODS: In REFLEX, patients with CIS were randomized to double-blind scIFN β-1a 44 µg tiw, qw, or placebo for 24 months. Upon clinically-definite MS, patients switched to open-label scIFN β-1a tiw. Patients who completed REFLEX entered an extension (REFLEXION). Patients initially randomized to placebo switched to tiw (DT); scIFN β-1a patients continued their initial qw/tiw regimen for up to 60-months post-randomization. This post-hoc analysis was conducted in the integrated intent-to-treat REFLEX plus REFLEXION population (tiw, n = =171; qw, n = =175; DT, n = =171). All p values are nominal. CIS was defined using the McDonald 2010 criteria. RESULTS: Patients receiving early treatment (ET) with scIFN β-1a tiw and qw were more likely to achieve NEDA-3 than DT at year 2 (tiw vs. DT: OR 4.26, 95% CI 2.02-8.98, p = =0.0001; qw vs. DT: OR 2.99, 95% CI 1.39-6.43, p = =0.005). Compared with DT, ET with scIFN β-1a tiw was more likely to achieve NEDA-3 at year 3 (OR 3.73, 95% CI 1.63-8.55, p = =0.002) and year 5 (OR 12.96, 95% CI 1.66-101.04, p = =0.015). Between ET regimens, the odds of achieving NEDA-3 were not significantly improved by scIFN β-1a 44 µg tiw at year 2 (OR 1.42, 95% CI 0.81-2.50, p = =0.22) but were at year 3 (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.11-4.60, p = =0.024) and year 5 (OR 3.22, 95% CI 1.01-10.22, p = =0.048), indicating that the beneficial effects of more frequent scIFN β-1a dosing become more apparent over time in patients with CIS. In the subgroup of patients with Gd+ lesions at baseline the odds for achieving NEDA-3 were higher for ET up to year 2 compared with DT (tiw: OR 10.21, 95% CI 1.23-84.82, p = =0.03; qw: OR 8.97, 95% CI 1.08-74.28, p = =0.04). In patients without Gd+ lesions at baseline, those receiving ET were more likely to achieve NEDA-3 at year 2 (OR 3.56, 95% CI 1.56-8.10, p = =0.003), year 3 (OR 2.54, 95% CI 1.05-6.18, p = =0.04) and year 5 (OR 9.63, 95% CI 1.19-77.79, p = =0.034) than patients who received DT. CONCLUSIONS: ET with scIFN β-1a tiw was associated with a higher likelihood of achieving NEDA-3 not only at 2 but also at 3 and 5 years.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".