Longitudinal trajectories of severe wheeze exacerbations from infancy to school age and their association with early‐life risk factors and late asthma outcomes
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Introduction Exacerbation‐prone asthma subtype has been reported in studies using data‐driven methodologies. However, patterns of severe exacerbations have not been studied. Objective To investigate longitudinal trajectories of severe wheeze exacerbations from infancy to school age. Methods We applied longitudinal k‐means clustering to derive exacerbation trajectories among 887 participants from a population‐based birth cohort with severe wheeze exacerbations confirmed in healthcare records. We examined early‐life risk factors of the derived trajectories, and their asthma‐related outcomes and lung function in adolescence. Results 498/887 children (56%) had physician‐confirmed wheeze by age 8 years, of whom 160 had at least one severe exacerbation. A two‐cluster model provided the optimal solution for severe exacerbation trajectories among these 160 children: “Infrequent exacerbations (IE)” (n = 150, 93.7%) and “Early‐onset frequent exacerbations (FE)” (n = 10, 6.3%). Shorter duration of breastfeeding was the strongest early‐life risk factor for FE (weeks, median [IQR]: FE, 0 [0‐1.75] vs. IE, 6 [0‐20], P < .001). Specific airway resistance (sR aw ) was significantly higher in FE compared with IE trajectory throughout childhood. We then compared children in the two exacerbation trajectories with those who have never wheezed (NW, n = 389) or have wheezed but had no severe exacerbations (WNE, n = 338). At age 8 years, FEV 1 /FVC was significantly lower and FeNO significantly higher among FE children compared with all other groups. By adolescence (age 16), subjects in FE trajectory were significantly more likely to have current asthma (67% FE vs. 30% IE vs. 13% WNE, P < .001) and use inhaled corticosteroids (77% FE vs. 15% IE vs. 18% WNE, P < .001). Lung function was significantly diminished in the FE trajectory (FEV 1 /FVC, mean [95%CI]: 89.9% [89.3‐90.5] vs. 88.1% [87.3‐88.8] vs. 85.1% [83.4‐86.7] vs. 74.7% [61.5‐87.8], NW, WNE, IE, FE respectively, P < .001). Conclusion We have identified two distinct trajectories of severe exacerbations during childhood with different early‐life risk factors and asthma‐related outcomes in adolescence.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it