Machine Learning for Detecting Early Infarction in Acute Stroke with Non–Contrast-enhanced CT
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Identifying the presence and extent of infarcted brain tissue at baseline plays a crucial role in the treatment of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Patients with extensive infarction are unlikely to benefit from thrombolysis or thrombectomy procedures. Purpose To develop an automated approach to detect and quantitate infarction by using non–contrast-enhanced CT scans in patients with AIS. Materials and Methods Non–contrast-enhanced CT images in patients with AIS (<6 hours from symptom onset to CT) who also underwent diffusion-weighted (DW) MRI within 1 hour after AIS were obtained from May 2004 to July 2009 and were included in this retrospective study. Ischemic lesions manually contoured on DW MRI scans were used as the reference standard. An automatic segmentation approach involving machine learning (ML) was developed to detect infarction. Randomly selected nonenhanced CT images from 157 patients with the lesion labels manually contoured on DW MRI scans were used to train and validate the ML model; the remaining 100 patients independent of the derivation cohort were used for testing. The ML algorithm was quantitatively compared with the reference standard (DW MRI) by using Bland-Altman plots and Pearson correlation. Results In 100 patients in the testing data set (median age, 69 years; interquartile range [IQR]: 59–76 years; 59 men), baseline non–contrast-enhanced CT was performed within a median time of 48 minutes from symptom onset (IQR, 27–93 minutes); baseline MRI was performed a median of 38 minutes (IQR, 24–48 minutes) later. The algorithm-detected lesion volume correlated with the reference standard of expert-contoured lesion volume in acute DW MRI scans (r = 0.76, P < .001). The mean difference between the algorithm-segmented volume (median, 15 mL; IQR, 9–38 mL) and the DW MRI volume (median, 19 mL; IQR, 5–43 mL) was 11 mL (P = .89). Conclusion A machine learning approach for segmentation of infarction on non–contrast-enhanced CT images in patients with acute ischemic stroke showed good agreement with stroke volume on diffusion-weighted MRI scans. © RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Nael in this issue.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.017 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".